Assistant Professor
Email Address: varun.agiwal@iiphh.org
Qualifications:
MBBS (AFMC, Pune);
Diploma in Tuberculosis and Chest Diseases – DTCD (BJMC, University of Pune);
MPH with specialisation in infectious diseases and microbiology (GSPH, University of Pittsburgh, USA);
PhD in Public Health and Primary Care (Cambridge, UK)
Dr. Varun Agiwal is working as a Senior Lecturer at the Indian Institute of Public Health, Hyderabad. Before this role, he held a position as a Statistical cum Lecturer at Jawaharlal Nehru Medical College in Ajmer. With a teaching background spanning four years, Dr. Agiwal specializes in instructing on subjects such as biostatistics, demography, and related topics. He utilizes various statistical software including MS-Excel, STATA, Epi-Info, and R, to enhance the learning experience.
Time Series Analysis, Prediction Modelling, Systematic review and Meta Analysis, Big Data Analytics .
Data modelling, Big data analytics, and predictive model
1. Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Varun Agiwal, Chittooru Chandrasekhar, Manisha Pandari Babu and Padmasri Yalamanchili. Self-care practices in diabetes among populations in India: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Discover Public Health, 22, 510. (2025)
2. Lakshmi Prasanna S.P., Varun Agiwal, Sai Madhuri Rangaraju, Sirshendu Chaudhari. Evaluating first aid knowledge among primary teachers and service evaluation in government schools, Visakhapatnam, India. International Journal Of Community Medicine And Public Health, 12(7), 3024–3029. (2025)
3. Varun Agiwal, Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Somnath Naskar. Trends inre-emerging disease outbreaks in India: A comparative analysis before andafter the COVID-19 pandemic. Indian Journal Public Health, 69, 233. (2025)
4. Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Varun Agiwal, Palle Venkata Yasheswini, and Imandi Srinivas Rao (2025). Gaps in measles surveillance and vaccination data in India. Discover Public Health, 22(1), 1-2. (2025)
5. Syeda Sana Ali, Nisha Hariharan, A. Y. Nirupama, Varun Agiwal, Senthil Rajappa, and Hira Pant. Quality of Life of Caregivers of Recently Diagnosed Breast Cancer Patients in a Tertiary Care Hospital in India. Indian Journal of Social Psychiatry, 41(2), 210-213.
(2025)
6. Pragya Singh, Raghul Durairaj, Gayathri Sappidi, Varun Agiwal, and Sirshendu Chaudhuri. Assessment of Growth and Early Childhood Development by Health Workers: A Cross-sectional Evaluation in Meerut, Uttar Pradesh. Current Medical Issues, 23(2), 102-106. (2025)
7. S. Sana Ali, Rakesh Pinninti, Susheela Kodandapani, Kranthi Kumar, Rohan Tewani, A. Y. Nirupama, Varun Agiwal, Chandra CK Naidu, Nisha Hariharan, and Senthil Rajappa. Testing Patterns and Prevalence of gBRCA Mutations among Women with Breast Cancer: A Cross-Sectional Observational Study, Indian Journal of Medical and Paediatric Oncology, Accepted. (2025)
8. Varun Agiwal, Shikhar Tyagi, and Christophe Chesneau. Bayesian and Frequentist Estimation of Stress-Strength Reliability from a New Extended Burr XII Distribution, REVSTAT-Statistical Journal, 23 (1), 117-138. (Scopus, Web of Science, IF-0.7) (2025)
9. Usha Rani Poli, Anirudh G. Gudlavalleti, Jaya Bharadwaj Y, Hira B. Pant, Varun Agiwal, and G. V. S. Murthy. Development and Clinical Validation of Visual Inspection With Acetic Acid Application- Artificial Intelligence Tool Using Cervical Images in Screen-and-Treat Visual Screening for Cervical Cancer in South India: A Pilot Study. JCO Global Oncology, 10, e2400146. (2024)
10. Varun Agiwal, Hassan S. Bakouch, Aleksandar Nastic. Incorporating non-Gaussian stochastic disturbances in panel time series models to account for structural breaks, Filomat, 38(21), 7329–7354. (2024)
11. Sapna Vyakaranam, Srinivas N. S. Nori, Abdul Rahim Rehan, Yellesh Pothula, Lavanya Yasam, Varun Agiwal. Six sigma matrix and Quality Goal Index ratio in improving the quality of analytical phase in a Clinical Laboratory. Journal of Laboratory Physicians, Accepted. (2024)
12. Jitendra Kumar, Ashok Kumar, and Varun Agiwal. Bayesian Estimation of Multiple Covariate of Autoregressive (MC-AR) Model, Annals of Data Science, 11(4), 1291-1301. (2024)
13. Sai Madhuri Rangaraju, Alivelu Ravi Saddala, Abhilash Patra, Nirupama AY, Varun Agiwal, Sai Guru Datta Vemula, Anjali Buniyad, Sai Srinivas Karpuram, Princy Bennett Gudapati. Assessment of knowledge, attitude and practices regarding immunization among mothers of under-five children in Chitoor district, Andhra Pradesh, Int J Community Med Public Health, 11,4829-34. (2024)
14. Harsh Tripathi and Varun Agiwal. A new version of univariate Rayleigh distribution: properties, estimation and it’s application. (2024)
15. Rebecca deSouza, Shriniwas Subhas Kulkarni, Shona Nag, Atul Dongare, Aparna Dhar, Abhilash Patra, Hira B. Pant, Varun Agiwal, Nirupama AY, Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Yashaswini Kumar and G. V. S. Murthy. A Case of Breast Cancer Patient with Li–Fraumeni Syndrome: Psychosocial Implications and Literature Review, Journal of Current Oncology, 25898892241264888. (2024)
16. Tanneru Pavani, Sirshendu Chaudhuri and Varun Agiwal. Intensified Mission IndraDhanush: Maternal Awareness and Service Utilization in Krishna District, India, BLDE University Journal of Health Sciences, 9, 58-63. (UGC, DOAJ) (2024)
17. Abhilash Patra, Syeda Sana Ali, Ng Marina Devi, Amatullah Sana Qadeer, Sureshkumar Kamalakannan, Shona Nag, Shriniwas Subhash Kulkarni, Senthil Rajappa, Nisha Hariharan, Hira Ballabh Pant, Varun Agiwal and AY Nirupama. Prevalence of BRCA mutation in breast and ovarian cancer among women in India: A systematic review and meta-analysis protocol, PloS one, 19(7), e0306612. (PubMed Central, Scopus, Web of Science, IF-2.9) (2024)
18. Sai Sreeharshita Malla, Nanda Kishore Kannuri, Varun Agiwal, A. Y. Nirupama, and Hira Pant Ballabh. The role of ICDS services on early childhood development: A cross-sectional study in Hyderabad, Telangana, Journal of Family Medicine and Primary Care, 13(7), 2596-2603. (PubMed Central, Web of Science, IF-1.1) (2024)
19. Sirshendu Chaudhuri, and Varun Agiwal. Strategies for Preventing and Addressing Missing Data in Research, Current Medical Issues, 22(3), 181-183. (DOAJ) (2024)
20. Abhilash Patra, Rebecca deSouza, Shona Nag, Hira B. Pant, Varun Agiwal, A. Y. Nirupama, Yashaswini Kumar, G. V. S. Murthy, Rebecca DeSouza, and Hira Pant. Burden of Financial Hardship Among Breast Cancer Survivors in Maharashtra, India, Cureus, 16(6), (PubMed Central, Web of Science, IF-1.2) (2024)
21. Shona Nag, Anupama Mane, Madhuri Dhobale, Kavitha Varghese, Abhilash Patra, Hira B. Pant, Varun Agiwal, A. Y. Nirupama, and G. V. S. Murthy. Efficacy and Satisfaction among HER2 Positive Breast Cancer Patients Undergoing Subcutaneous Injection of PHESGO along with Chemotherapy: A Case Series, Asian Pacific Journal of Environment and Cancer, 7(1), 137-142. (DOAJ) (2024)
22. Varun Agiwal, Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Maddela Vinay Kumar and Palle Venkata Yasheswini. Decadal analysis of measles epidemiological data in India, Discover Public Health, Accepted (Scopus, Web of Science, IF-3.6) (2011 - 2020)(2020)
23. Anirudh G. Gudlavalleti, Giridhara R. Babu, Varun Agiwal, G. V. S. Murthy, Nicolaas C. Schaper, and Onno CP Van Schayck. Undesirable Levels of Practice Behaviours and Associated Knowledge amongst Community Health Workers in Rural South India Responsible for Type 2 Diabetes Screening and Management, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 21(5), 562. (PubMed Central, Scopus, Web of Science, IF-7.3) (2024)
24. Varun Agiwal and Sirshendu Chaudhuri. Methods and Implications of Addressing Missing Data in Health-care Research, Current Medical Issues, 22(1), 60-62. (DOAJ) (2024)
25. Sreeharshita Malla, Varun Agiwal, and Sirshendu Chaudhuri. Multimorbidity among Pregnant Women in India: National and State-level Burden and Socio-demographic Variations, Preventive Medicine: Research & Reviews, 1(2), 115-117.b (2024)
26. Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Yashaswini Kumar, Nirupama AY and Varun Agiwal: Examining the Prevalence and Patterns of Malnutrition among Children Aged 0-3 in India: Comparative Insights from NFHS-1 to NFHS-5, Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health, Accepted (Scopus) (2023)
27. Arunava Saha, Michelle Siew, Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Varun Agiwal and George M. Abraham: Superinfections in COVID-19: Do We Have a Diagnostic Tool?, Infectious Diseases in Clinical Practice, 32(3), e1362. (SCOPUS, Web of Science, IF-0.4) (2024)
28. Jitendra Kumar, Mohd Mudassir and Varun Agiwal: Study of Merger and Acquisition (M&A) with Spline Function in AR Time Series Model under Bayesian Framework, Thailand Statistician, 22(2): 491-508. (Scopus) (2024)
29. Abhilash Patra, Sureshkumar Kamalakannan, Hira B. Pant, Varun Agiwal, Nirupama AY, Sirshendu Chaudhuri and Gudlavalleti S. Murthy: Mental Health Disorders Post-Stroke: A Scenario in India, Journal of Stroke Medicine, 25166085231186492. (Embase) (2023)
30. Binita Bhattarai, Hari Bahadur Thapa, Sandip Bashyal, Sarasawati Khadka Thapa, Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Varun Agiwal, Hira Pant, Samiksha Singh, and Hemant Mahajan: Structured Counselling and Regular Telephonic follow up to improve Referral flow and compliance in Nepal for Diabetic Retinopathy(SCREEND Study): a randomised controlled trial. BMC Health Services Research, 24, 188. (PubMed Central, Scopus, Web of Science, IF-2.7) (2024) 31. Varun Agiwal, Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Somnath Naskar and IIPHH Surveillance Group: Distribution of Infectious disease outbreaks in India before and after COVID-19 pandemic: Analysis of national weekly surveillance data, Indian Journal of Public Health, 68, 124-127. (Medline, Scopus, Web of Science, IF-0.9) (2024) 32. Basany Kalpana, Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Lakshmi Sailaja P, Varun Agiwal, Neelima Angaali, Nirupama AY, Catherine Haggerty and PS Reddy: Prospective cohort study of Surgical Site Infections following single dose antibiotic prophylaxis in caesarean section at a tertiary care teaching hospital in Medchal, India, PLOS One, 19(1), e0286165. (PubMed Central, Scopus, Web of Science, IF-2.9) (2024) 33. Varun Agiwal, R Sai Madhuri and Sirshendu Chaudhuri (2023): Infertility Burden Across Indian States: Insights from a Nationally Representative Survey Conducted During 2019–21, Journal of Reproduction & Infertility, 24(4), 287-292. (PubMed Central, Scopus) (2023) (2019 - 21) 34. Hari Bahadur Thapa, Kabindra Bajracharya, Sirshendu Chaudhuri, Varun Agiwal, Katie Judson, Ken Bassett, Mahesh Kumar Dev, Saraswati Khadka Thapa and Hari Prasad Upadhyay: Prevalence of Refractive Errors among Under Five Year Children Attending in a Tertiary Eye Care Center of Nepal, Journal of College of Medical Sciences-Nepal, 19(3), 367-377 (DOAJ) (2023) 35. Shriniwas Subhash Kulkarni, Shona Nag, Abhilash Patra, Hira Ballabh Pant, Varun Agiwal, A. Y. Nirupama, Sirshendu Chaudhuri and G. V. S. Murthy: Prevalence of germline mutations in women with breast and/or ovarian cancer in a tertiary care center in Pune, India, International Journal of Molecular and Immuno Oncology, 8(2), 65-71. (2023) 36. Shikhar Tyagi, Varun Agiwal, Sumit Kumar and Christophe Chesneau: Theory and Practice of a Bivariate Trigonometric Burr XII Distribution, Afrika Matematika, 34(3), 49. (Scopus, Web of Science, IF-0.9) (2023) 37. Bhuswami Saibindu, A. Y. Nirupama, Aniruddh Gaurang, Sirshendu Chaudhuri and Varun Agiwal: Self-Care Practices in Diabetes: A Community-Based Cross-Sectional Study in Vikarabad, Telangana, Current Medical Issues, 21, 141-146. (DOAJ) (2023) 38. Abhishek Tyagi, Bhupendra Singh, Varun Agiwal and Amit Singh Nayal (2023): Analysing Random Censored Data from Discrete Teissier Model, Reliability: Theory & Applications, 18(1(72)), 403-411. (Scopus) (2015) 39. Ruchi Shrestha, Prerana Singh, Parami Dhakwa, Shailaja Tetali, Tripura Batchu, Pragati Shrestha Thapa, Varun Agiwal and Hira Pant (2023): Augmenting the Referral Pathway for Retinal Services among Diabetic Patients at Reiyukai Eiko Masunaga Eye Hospital, Nepal: A Non-randomized, Pre-post Intervention Study. BMC Health Services Research, 23(1), 126. (PubMed Central, Scopus, Web of Science, IF-2.7) (2015) 40. Manisha Shrestha, Gopal Bhandari, Sureshkumar Kamalakannan, G.V.S. Murthy, Suresh Kumar Rathi, Anirudh Gaurang Gudlavalleti, Varun Agiwal Hira Pant, Binod Pandey, Ramesh Ghimire and ORCB Group (2023): Evaluating the Effectiveness of Interventions to Improve the Follow-up Rate for Children With Visual Disabilities in an Eye Hospital in Nepal: Nonrandomized Study, JMIR Pediatrics and Parenting, 6(1), e43814. (PubMed Central, Scopus, Web of Science, IF-2.1) (2015) 41. Hira Pant, Tripura Batchu, Raashi Raj, A. Y. Nirupama and Varun Agiwal (2023). Impact of Handson Training in STATA for Data Management and Data Analysis: How much Knowledge Gained among Health-care Professionals? IHOPE Journal of Ophthalmology, 2, 4-8. (2015) 42. Elizabeth Joseph, Meena CK, Rahul Kumar, Mary Sebastian, Catherine M Suttle, Nathan Congdon, Sheeladevi Sethu, Gudlavalleti VS Murthy,REACH Research Group (Varun Agiwal) (2024): Prevalence of Refractive Errors among School-going Children in a Multistate Study in India, British Journal Ophthalmology, 108, 143–151. (PubMed Central, Scopus, Web of Science, IF-3.8) (2015) 43. Asim Sil, Prachi Aggarwal, Subhra Sil, Ankita Mitra, Elesh Jain, Sethu Sheeladevi and GVS Murthyon behalf of REACH Research Group (Varun Agiwal) (2023): Design and Delivery of the Refractive Errors Among Children (REACH) School-based Eye Health Programme in India, Clinical and Experimental Optometry, 106(8), 859-868. (PubMed Central, Scopus, Web of Science, IF-2.6) (2015) 44. Jitendra Kumar and Varun Agiwal (2022): Bayesian Inference for Merged Panel Autoregressive Model, Communications in Statistics – Theory and Methods, 51(18), 6197-6217.b>(Scopus, Web of Science, IF-0.6) (2015) 45. Varun Agiwal, Jitendra Kumar and Narinder Kumar (2022): Bayesian Estimation of the Polynomial Time Trend AR(1) Model through Spline Function, American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences, 41(1), 13-23. (Scopus) (2015) 46. Jitendra Kumar, Varun Agiwal and Yau Chun Yip (2022): Study of the Trend Pattern of COVID-19 using Spline-Based Time Series Model: A Bayesian Paradigm, Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science, 5, 363-377. (Scopus, Web of Science, IF-1.1) (2015) 47. Umme Afifa, Varun Agiwal and Jitendra Kumar (2022): Bayesian Modeling of VAR Model with Multiple Covariates, Journal of Statistics and Applications, 20(1), 265-277. (Scopus) (2015) 48. Bhupendra Singh, Varun Agiwal, Amit Singh Nayal and Abhishek Tyagi (2022): A Discrete Analogue of Teissier Distribution: Properties and Classical Estimation with Application to Count Data, Reliability: Theory & Applications, 17(1), 340-355. (Scopus) (2015) 49. Renu Bedi, Devraj Rao, Vinod Saini and Varun Agiwal (2022): Quality Assessment of Health Services provided by Sub-centres of Ajmer District: A Cross-sectional Study, Indian Journal of Applied Research, 12(7), 30-33. (Pubmed) (2015) (2015) 50. Vijaylatha Rastogi, Swami Krishnanand, Raja Babu Panwar, Karampendethu Mathai Chacko, Rajavally Prem, Chhavi Vijay, and Varun Agiwal (2022): Quality analysis, Anti-bacterial activity and Chemical Characterization of Ethnobotanical (Hawan) Medicinal Fumes, Interdisciplinary Journal of Yagya Research, 5(1), 1-19. (DOAJ) (2015) 51. Jitendra Kumar, Umme Afifa and Varun Agiwal (2021): Analysis of Structural Break in VAR(k) Time Series Model: A Bayesian Approach, Statistics & Applications, XIX(2),141-160. (Web of Science) (2015) 52. Renu Bedi, Narendra Verma, Kunal Guatam and Varun Agiwal (2021): Forecasting the Anti-Rabies Vaccine Demand at Jawaharlal Medical College and Hospital, Ajmer, Rajasthan: A Comparative Analysis based on Time Series Model, Indian Journal of Community Health, 33(3), 451-455. (Scopus, Web of Science, IF-0.9) (2015) 53. Shikhar Tyagi, Arvind Pandey, Varun Agiwal and Christophe Chesneau (2021): Weighted Lindley Multiplicative Regression Frailty Models under Random Censored Data, Computational and Applied Mathematics, Accepted. (Scopus, Web of Science, IF-2.5) (2015) 54. Varun Agiwal (2023): Bayesian Estimation of Stress Strength Reliability from Inverse Chen Distribution with application on Failure Time Data, Annals of Data Science, 10, 317-347. (2015) 55. Christophe Chesneau and Varun Agiwal (2021): Statistical Theory and Practice of the Inverse Power Muth Distribution, Journal of Computational Mathematics and Data Science, 1, 1-16 (Scopus, DOAJ) (2015) 56. Jitendra Kumar and Varun Agiwal (2021): Time Series Approach for Modelling the Merger and Acquisition Series: An Application to Indian Banking System, The Philippine Statistician, 70(1), 83-105. (Scopus) (2015) 57. Surbhi Mathur, Prateek Kamble, Geeta Parihar and Varun Agiwal (2021): Rapid SARS-COV-2 Antigen Detection Assay in Comparison with Realtime RT-PCR Assay for Laboratory Diagnosis of COVID-19 in at JLNMC, Ajmer, Central Rajasthan, India, International Journal of Scientific Research, 10(09), 18-19. (Pubmed) (2015) 58. Renu Bedi, Manish Choudhary, Narendra Verma, Bharat Meharda and Varun Agiwal (2021): Situational Awareness, Perceptions, Myths, and Health Protective Behavior Regarding Coronavirus Disease-19 among Common Educated People of Urban Population of Ajmer City: A Cross-sectional Study, Annals of Community Health, 9(2), 1-7. (DOAJ) (2015) 59. Renu Bedi, Teena Gupta and Varun Agiwal (2021): Knowledge, Attitude and Practices about Breastfeeding among Urban Lactating Mothers of Ajmer City: A Cross Sectional Study, Annals of Community Health, 9(1), 1-5. (DOAJ) 60. Varun Agiwal, Jitendra Kumar and Dahud Kehinde Shangodoyin (2020): Bayesian Analysis of Complete Multiple Breaks in Panel Autoregressive (CMB-PAR(1)) Time Series Model, Statistics in Transition, 21(5), 133-149. (Scopus) (2015) 61. Varun Agiwal and Jitendra Kumar (2020): Bayesian Estimation for Threshold Autoregressive Model with Multiple Structural Breaks, METRON, 78(3), 361-382. (ESCI, Scopus) (2015) 62. Renu Bedi, Narendra Verma, Varun Agiwal, Manish Choudhary and Devraj Rao (2020): Knowledge, Awareness and Practices of Sanitary Latrine Usage under Swachh Bharat Mission in a Rural Area of Ajmer District, Rajasthan: A Cross Sectional Study, IOSR Journal of Dental and Medical Sciences, 19(10), 54-57. (Pubmed, ICI) (2015)63. Saurabh Kumar, Jitendra Kumar, Vikas Kumar Sharma and Varun Agiwal (2020): Random Order Autoregressive Time Series Model with Structural Break, Journal of Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 15(3), 225-237. (Scopus) (2015)
64. Jitendra Kumar, Varun Agiwal, Dhirendra Kumar and Anoop Chaturvedi (2020): Bayesian Unit Root Test for AR(1) Model with Trend Approximated by Linear Spline Function, Statistics, Optimization and Information Computing, 8(2), 425-461. (Scopus) (2015)
65. Ashok Kumar, Jitendra Kumar and Varun Agiwal (2020): Bayesian Computation and Analysis of CPAR( 1) Time Series Model with Structural Break, Thailand Statistician, 18(2), 150-164. (Scopus, ESCI) (2015)
66. Jitendra Kumar and Varun Agiwal (2019): Panel Data Unit Root Test with Structural Break: A Bayesian Approach, Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 48(4), 1213-1231. (SCIE (IF-0.86), Scopus) (2015)
67. Jitendra Kumar and Varun Agiwal (2019): Bayesian Estimation for Fully Shifted Panel AR(1) Time Series Model, Thai Journal of Mathematics, 17, 167-183. (Scopus) (2015)
68. Varun Agiwal, Jitendra Kumar and Sumit Kumar Sharma (2018): Testing of Parameter’s Instability in a Balanced Panel: An Application to Real Effective Exchange Rate for SAARC Countries, Journal of Economics and Econometrics, 61(2), 18-46. (EconLit) (2015)
69. Varun Agiwal, Jitendra Kumar and Dahud Kehinde Shangodoyin (2018): A Bayesian Inference of Multiple Structural Breaks in Mean and Error Variance in Panel AR(1) Model, Statistics in Transition, 19(1), 7-23. (Scopus) (2015)
70. Jitendra Kumar, Ashok Kumar and Varun Agiwal: Bayesian Study of Panel AR(1) Model with Stationary Covariate. (EconLit, CIS) International Journal of Statistics & Economics, 19(2), 55-65. (2018)
71. Jitendra Kumar, Ashok Kumar, Varun Agiwal and Dahud Kehinde Shangodoyin: Bayesian Inference of C-AR(1) Time Series Model with Structural Break, Afrika Statistika, 12(3), 1467-1479. (UGC) (2017)
72. Vikas Kumar Sharma, Sanjay Kumar Singh, Umesh Singh and Varun Agiwal: The Inverse Lindley Distribution: A Stress-Strength Reliability Model with Application to Head and Neck Cancer Data, Journal of Industrial and Production Engineering, 32(3), 162-173. (Scopus, ESCI) (2015)
1. Portable Eye Examination Kit Retina (2017-18):
Peek validation trial in the state of Telangana, India worth £73,000 (GBP)
2. Wellcome Trust – PHFI PhD Research Fellowship (2010 – 2013):On decision support systems for management of hypertension in primary health care centers of Andhra Pradesh, India worth £20,000 (GBP)
3. IUATLD (2009-10):Operational Research capacity building grant worth $23,894 (USD)
(Deemed to be University)
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